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The impact of rumors on the judgmental forecasting process
Hawaii, USA January 04-January 07
DOI Bookmark: http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/HICSS.1995.37556428th Hawaii International Conference ...
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W. Remus, K. Griggs, M. O'Connor, "The impact of rumors on the judgmental forecasting process," Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, pp. 160, 28th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS'95), 1995.
 
 
BibTex
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@article{ 10.1109/HICSS.1995.375564,
author = {W. Remus and K. Griggs and M. O'Connor},
title = {The impact of rumors on the judgmental forecasting process},
journal ={Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences},
volume = {0},
year = {1995},
issn = {1060-3425},
pages = {160},
doi = {http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/HICSS.1995.375564},
publisher = {IEEE Computer Society},
address = {Los Alamitos, CA, USA},
}
 
 
RefWorks Procite/RefMan/Endnote
x 
 
TY - CONF
JO - Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences
TI - The impact of rumors on the judgmental forecasting process
SN - 1060-3425
SP
EP
A1 - W. Remus,
A1 - K. Griggs,
A1 - M. O'Connor,
PY - 1995
KW - time series; forecasting theory; quality control; judgmental forecasting process; changing time series; future direction; correct rumors; incorrect rumors; information content; forecasting quality
VL - 0
JA - Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences
ER -
 
W. Remus, Hawaii Univ., Honolulu, HI, USA
K. Griggs, Hawaii Univ., Honolulu, HI, USA
M. O'Connor, Hawaii Univ., Honolulu, HI, USA
The study investigates the impact of rumors when forecasting changing time series. In this study, the subjects were presented with three types of rumors about the future direction of the time series-correct rumors, incorrect rumors and rumors which provide no information. Results indicate that correct rumors improved the quality of the forecasts; incorrect rumors and rumors with no information content evoked the same quality of the forecasts. The latter relationships persisted and affected forecasting quality in subsequent time series.
Index Terms:
time series; forecasting theory; quality control; judgmental forecasting process; changing time series; future direction; correct rumors; incorrect rumors; information content; forecasting quality
Citation:
W. Remus, K. Griggs, M. O'Connor, "The impact of rumors on the judgmental forecasting process," hicss, pp.160, 28th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS'95), 1995
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